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Cali Pass Resorts: Models Tightening Up Ahead of Weekend Storm! SNOW...

Coop

GFS Deterministic - 72hr Precipitation
GFS Deterministic - 72hr Precipitation

Buenos dìas, my friends Coop here with your midweek weather update.

The short of it:  Dry and calm through Friday, then a weekend storm rolls in, bringing light snow and rain to all resorts. Think #MaNatural refresh, not a full-on dump. Stay tuned for more details as we tighten the forecast up over the next 48hrs! 🤙

Extended Weather Forecast for Cali Pass Resorts

Prepared on: January 22, 2025


Bear Valley and Dodge Ridge

Source: NWS Sacramento, CA

Weather Ahead

  • Midweek Calm: Dry weather with cold, foggy mornings continues through Friday. Warmer days are expected, with highs reaching the 60s in the valleys and foothills.

  • Weekend Changes: A low-pressure system will bring gusty winds and light mountain precipitation over the weekend.

Changes from Yesterday

  • Temperature Delta: Slight warming in daytime highs and overnight lows by Friday. Morning lows will still hover in the 30s but with less than a 20% chance of freezing temperatures after Thursday.

  • Precipitation Potential: Snow totals have been revised downward, with only light snow expected at higher elevations.

Weather Advisories

  • Saturday: Gusty winds likely, with a 65-90% probability of 40+ mph gusts in the valley and 50-75% chance of 50+ mph gusts in the mountains.

Rain and Snow Totals

  • Weekend: Light precipitation, with snow levels dropping to 3,500-4,500 feet. Accumulations will remain under 2 inches in most areas.

Winds

  • Saturday-Sunday: Gusts of 40+ mph in the valley and 50+ mph in exposed mountain areas.

Temperatures

  • Daytime Highs: 60-70°F in the valleys and 40-50°F in the mountains.


  • Nighttime Lows: 30-40°F in valleys, with wind chills dropping to the 20s in exposed areas.


China Peak

Source: NWS San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA

Weather Ahead

  • Midweek Calm: Clear skies with above-average daytime highs and cold nights continue through Friday.

  • Weekend System: Light rain and mountain snow are expected Saturday, with snow levels dropping to 2,500-3,000 feet.

Changes from Yesterday

  • Snow Levels Lowered: Snow levels now expected as low as 2,500 feet in the Sierra foothills by Saturday.

  • Thunderstorm Potential Added: A 15-20% chance of isolated thunderstorms producing small hail and brief heavy rain Saturday evening.

Weather Advisories

  • Freeze Warning: Until 9 AM today for rural areas of the San Joaquin Valley.

  • Saturday: Potential for light snow on the Grapevine and Tehachapi Pass, with a 45-65% chance of accumulation near Ft. Tejon and Tehachapi.

Rain and Snow Totals

  • Rainfall: Up to 0.25 inches in valley areas.

  • Snowfall: 2-5 inches above 3,000 feet, with up to 10 inches possible at resort elevations.

Winds

  • Saturday-Sunday: Breezy conditions with gusts of 20-30 mph in mountain passes and ridges.

Temperatures

  • Daytime Highs: 50-60°F at lower elevations.

  • Nighttime Lows: 20-30°F, with wind chills dropping into the teens.


Mountain High

Source: NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA

Weather Ahead

  • Santa Ana Winds: Strong Santa Ana winds continue today and will diminish by Thursday.

  • Weekend Storm: A cold system arrives Saturday, bringing rain and snow with snow levels dropping to 2,500-4,000 feet.

Changes from Yesterday

  • Thunderstorm Potential Added: A 10-20% chance of thunderstorms Saturday night into Sunday, with the possibility of brief heavy rainfall and small hail.

  • Snow Totals Increased: Enhanced probability of 2-5 inches of snow above 4,000 feet and localized amounts up to 10 inches at resort levels.

Weather Advisories

  • High Wind Warning: In effect until Thursday afternoon for mountain areas and the Santa Clarita Valley, with gusts of 60-80 mph.

  • Red Flag Warning: Critical fire weather conditions persist through Thursday.

Rain and Snow Totals

  • Rainfall: 0.25-0.50 inches south of Point Conception, with localized amounts up to 1 inch in south-facing slopes.

  • Snowfall: 2-5 inches above 4,000 feet, with up to 10 inches at resort levels.

Winds

  • Today-Thursday: Gusts of 60-80 mph in mountain passes, with localized gusts up to 100 mph in the San Gabriel Mountains.

  • Saturday-Sunday: Advisory-level winds are possible with the incoming storm system.

Temperatures

  • Daytime Highs: 70-80°F through Thursday, dropping to 50-60°F over the weekend.

  • Nighttime Lows: 30-40°F, with wind chills in the 20s or lower.


Summary

The week features dry and calm conditions through Friday, with gusty Santa Ana winds peaking today and Thursday. A cold weekend storm will bring light rain and snow across all Cali Pass Resorts, with snow levels dropping significantly. Expect breezy conditions and colder temperatures as the system moves in. Prepare for light snow accumulations, potential thunderstorms, and significant travel impacts in mountain passes. Stay tuned for updates as forecasts are refined.


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